Friday, September 7, 2012

The OTM Crystal Ball for Week 2


Okay, I did say at one time that spreads are only good on toast and bagels. Well, I've decided to turn a new leaf and give a crack at it once again. I've never been good against the spread for as long as I've followed sports. However, most of what I've suspected so far this college football season has been correct. So I'll try and push my luck.

Auburn (+3) @ Mississippi St (-3)
A three point difference in this game. The Tigers travel to Starkville where they've had trouble in years past (even with Cam Newton) putting the ball in the end zone. Some believe this is the Bulldogs year to overtake the Tigers. Let's not get too hasty. Kihel Frazier showed some promise last week against Clemson, a few critical errors were what cost them. The defense is much improved despite getting shredded by Andre Ellington. I'm not sold on Tyler Russell at QB for Missis St, and that's the position that's been haunting them for years. Auburn had a disappointment last year against Utah State the week before State came to town, they came out victorious to many's surprise. I think Auburn will come away with this battle. Take Auburn +3

Purdue (+14) @ Notre Dame (-14)
It seemed everyone is salivating over Notre Dame's blowout of Navy in Dublin. It doesn't necessarily mean Notre Dame is back. Navy is not as good as they have been in the past. Despite Purdue's struggles in recent seasons, this team is full of veterans. An O-Line of JRs and SRs as well as QB, and an experienced defense. Plus, Notre Dame is still having QB issues. Notre Dame may win this game, but Purdue is going to give them fits. Take Purdue +14

Florida (+1) @ Texas A&M (-1)
Did I not say that Florida's defense was going to be awful this year? You're welcome. Now they travel to College Station where Texas A&M has had another week to prepare for the Gators. It will be interesting to see Texas A&M's offense looks against an SEC defense. The Aggies believe they benefit from the offensive style of play being less of an air attack in the SEC compared to the Big XII. Jeff Driskel has been named the starting QB for Florida, but that should give no Gator fan any confidence after last week. I like Texas A&M, with the energy of their historical SEC game, to turn the Gators into a suitcase. Take Texas A&M -1

USC (-26) @ Syracuse (+26)
Given that Syracuse gave up 40 points to a Big Ten medium in Northwestern, USC might be playing the 2nd string before halftime. USC may not drop 100, but they're going to clear this one easy, even if it's on the road. Take USC -26

Western Kentucky (+38) @ Alabama (-38)
Here's a math problem. What do you get when you add a pissed off Nick Saban and Western Kentucky players talking smack about hitting Alabama in the mouth? Probably a bloodbath of epic proportions. This isn't the same Western Kentucky of 5 years ago, but this isn't the same Alabama team of 5 years ago. Nick Saban wants to make a statement. Take Bama -38

Savannah State (+69) @ Florida St (-69)
Okay, getting 84 dropped on you by anybody is pretty embarassing. However, Florida State isn't going to do that, or at least on purpose. This will be another tune up game for the Seminoles just like Murray State. Take Murray State +69

Washington (+24) @ LSU (-24)
Watching Utah/Utah St and last week's win by Nevada over Cal, it's safe to say the Pac-12 is Oregon, USC, and those other guys. Washington is running into a buzzsaw, at night, in Baton Rouge. Despite Zach Mettenberger getting knocked around a little North Texas, Washington will have nothing to protect their QB or counter both sides of the ball. Take LSU -24

UTEP (+8.5) @ Ole Miss (-8.5)
After last week against Central Arkansas, Ole Miss save themselves from embarassment in the 2nd half. Here's the problem. They're taking on a team that held Oklahoma to 17 points. Yeah, I know it was a home game for UTEP, but Ole Miss is not Oklahoma and they've lost embarassing games at home before. If Ole Miss pulls off a win, it won't be by 9 points. Take UTEP +8.5

Georgia (-2) @ Mizzou (+2)
Georgia looked less than impressive against Buffalo and they're still without 4 defensive starters due to suspension. Missouri has the home field and an offense that could exploit Georgia's vulnerable secondary. Georgia has been notorious for starting slow the last few years. Missouri has alot of experience back on defense. I'm joining the trend of picking Mizzou as my upset of the week. Take Mizzou -2

Line provided by Team Rankings

Visit ZijaTakeOver.com and Drink Life In.