We're into Week 3 of the College Football Season and a few of my predictions look to be in jeopardy. Florida is the JaMarcus Russell (college career not pro i.e. lucky as hell) of college football, USC fell to Stanford after the preseason accolades. If you've seen them play the 1st 2 weeks, you weren't impressed to begin with. Auburn takes Overtime to avoid an 0-3 start, Arkansas is already begging for Bobby Petrino to come back, and Kentucky is probably taking donations to pay Petrino's salary to bring him to Lexington.
What we always like to do, no matter how early, is look at how the BCS Championship chips could fall at the end. The question that lingers is "Could there be a rematch of the rematch?" i.e LSU vs. Alabama. As much to the chagrin of BCS Executives, the chances I could put it right now is 55%.
The SEC East can be won by anyone at this point, but it looks like LSU or Alabama would pound all of them to the ground. That already eliminates Georgia and South Carolina. So most likely, the SEC Champion will take 1 of the 2 spots.
What does that mean for the others? Right now, if you're an LSU or Alabama fan, you're rooting for Stanford, Oregon, Florida St, and Clemson to lose. West Virginia will drop a game (most likely Texas), Oklahoma will drop a game (they always do), Texas will drop a game (despite playing well at this point). Notre Dame, I don't think, will be able to run a gauntlet of Michigan, Stanford, Oklahoma, and USC in order to run the table, they're out.
Wisconsin, Michigan State, and Michigan were the Big Ten Teams that would have the best (and that's not much) shot at a BCS run. Nebraska is too far down the polls to run the table and get in.
So we're down to the teams that have a legitimate shot at running the table:
They are: Florida State, Clemson, Oregon, and Stanford. Let's break their schedule down to survivable losses. Survivable losses are based on schedule strength and LSU/Alabama having only one loss being the loser on November 3rd.
Those 4 teams lose and Alabama/LSU play another epic battle, we could have a repeat of last year's Championship again.
